A thank you to a reader here who alerted me to this new speech on the BIS website. The BIS spokesman says that "in devising policy for financial stability, a tight focus on underlying causes rather than on the symptoms" is more likely to be effective. Below is a summary of the speech.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Exchange rates affect the economy through a financial channel, as well as the trade channel. The financial channel works in the opposite direction to the trade channel. In emerging market economies especially, a weakening of the domestic currency against the dollar saps both cross-border bank lending and investment. Such effects flow through the dense interconnections of dollar lending in the global financial system. In devising policy for financial stability, a tight focus on underlying causes (excess leverage and funding risk) rather than on the symptoms (capital flows) stands a better chance of being more effective in addressing the vulnerabilities as they emerge.
Speech by Mr Hyun Song Shin, Economic Adviser and Head of Research of the BIS, at the IMF-IBRN Joint Conference "Transmission of macroprudential and monetary policies across borders", Washington DC, 19 April 2017.
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