Showing posts with label Paul Volcker. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Paul Volcker. Show all posts

Monday, December 30, 2019

Reader Alert: Q&A Interview Coming Soon with Robert Pringle (Centralbanking.com)

The role of central banks in our monetary system is one that is sometimes hotly debated. Regardless of whether you see central banks as a positive or negative force on the system, there can be no doubt that they have had and continue to have an enormous impact on our money and the system we use to engage in commercial activity. 



Perhaps no one has had a better inside view of the impact of central banks and money on our society during out lifetimes than Robert Pringle. Here is a bit of background on his long and distinguished career which included his founding of Central Banking Publications.



The late Paul Volcker in conversation with Robert Pringle in 2014
(in this article Robert Pringle suggests Paul Volcker was a secret central bank skeptic)

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"Robert Pringle has pursued a career as an economics author, editor and commentator, specializing in money, banking and capital markets.
He is also an entrepeneur. In 1990 he founded  Central Banking Publications, a financial publisher specialising in public policy and financial markets. Central Banking journal, which he edited for 20 years, has subscribers in 120 countries including the great majority of the world’s central banks. He remains chairman of the company.
Robert has monitored and commented on changes in financial markets and the monetary policies of central banks around the world for more than 40 years.
In addition to numerous articles for a wide variety of  journals, he has published several books and edited more than 50 volumes of collected papers, surveys and training manuals for central bankers and market regulators. He has organised regular seminars and training sessions attended by more than 1,000 senior  monetary policy-makers.
After obtaining a Masters degree in economics, sociology and history from King’s College, Cambridge University and post-graduate study at the London School of Economics, Robert joined The Banker, part of the FT group, later being appointed the Editor.
He also served as deputy director of the Committee on Invisible Exports, a body representing a wide range of UK service sectors, which was set up by the Bank of England to study and publicise the contribution made by financial, business, professional and allied services to world trade and the UK economy. He led a study that made the first published estimates of the invisible earnings of UK professions such as law, medicine and accountancy.
From 1979 to 1986  he was the first executive director of the Group of 30, an influential think tank based at the time in the World Trade Centre, New York (it has since moved to Washington, DC). For the G30, Robert co-authored pioneering studies of the foreign exchange and interbank markets, and on IMF borrowing from the private markets, and the emerging profession of official reserve management.
His books and monographs include “Banking in Britain”, “The Growth Merchants”  (a polemic on the monetary policies pursued by the UK in the 1970s), and “The Contemporary Relevance of David Hume” a study of  the Scottish philosopher. With co-author Marjorie Deane, he  wrote “The Central Banks” (Hamish Hamilton, 1994), with a foreword by Paul Volcker, former chairman of the Federal Reserve.
At Central Banking (now part of Incisive Media) he represents the company at conferences around the world, and knows personally many of the leading financial statesmen, central bank governors and ministers of finance."
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After following these issues for many years, I see all kinds of views out there towards central banks and the monetary system we have today. Debate continues to rage on whether or not the system we have now is sustainable long term. Should we expect things to stay pretty much the same for a long time? Will some kind of new crisis upend our present system forcing some kind of major change? If that does happen, what will that change look like?
I suspect most people would be very interested to hear what someone who has worked inside this system for decades thinks about these kinds of questions. Most of us would love to get a chance to ask questions like this to someone who has seen how things work (and sometimes don't work) inside the system now primarily run by the major central banks around the world.
Readers here will soon get that opportunity. Robert Pringle has offered to share some of his insights into all these issues with us based on his direct observations of how the system operates. Mr. Pringle does not have to speculate about how things work because he has seen it all unfold from the inside.
I plan to run three articles for readers here in January 2020:
1) The Q&A interview with Robert Pringle - will publish on January 2, 2020.
2) A summary of some key points from his new book The Power of Money that Robert Pringle provided me by email. 
3) A followup article where I select a couple of his answers in the Q&A interview that I want to emphasize as important points for readers here
I hope this interview article will get as many readers as possible so please feel free to pass it along to anyone who may have any interest in these kinds of issues.

Thursday, April 11, 2019

In Money We Trust - A Documentary on Money Basics

An excellent documentary on money and monetary system basics has been released for global distribution by PBS. The title of the documentary is "In Money We Trust?". Readers may think of it as a followup to our earlier article on Money Basics.


The video features a diverse group of experts who walk us through the history of our money in an easy to understand format. Below I have pasted in the introduction text for the video and a direct link to watch it. Following that are some added comments.

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In Money We Trust ?


"In Money We Trust? asks & answers the question, “what is money” and explains how money provides a shared measure of value that facilitates trade and cooperation between strangers. Throughout history, trustworthy money has fueled human achievement from the emergence of philosophy to the high-tech revolution. Featured guests: Alan Greenspan, Paul Volcker, Adam Fergusson, Steve Forbes." (note: Dr. Judy Shelton who we have featured here on this blog is also featured in this documentary)


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My added comments: 

So why is this important?

If you will take an hour to watch the video linked above, I think it will become obvious why this information is important for all of us to understand. Money has a long history and has been used to do much good and to do much bad. The power to control money and the monetary system people use has been sought after for centuries and still is today. 

Please note as you watch this video how that what happens to money can lead to all kinds of human suffering when poor choices are made. The role of the devaluation of the German currency contributing to the rise of the Nazi regime is a particularly stark example from history mentioned in this documentary (starts just after the 18 minute mark).

When things are normal and the value of money is reasonably stable, the potential for very bad things to happen is reduced. History shows us clearly that when the monetary system fails and the the money used by the general public is substantially devalued, the potential for major social unrest and even major wars increases. Obviously, it's important to understand what causes people to lose trust in the money they use and what solutions might best restore order.

When things go bad financially, the first thing that happens is that people look for someone or something to blame for the crisis. This documentary points that out very well as we have done here many times. 

If the people do not understand what is happening and why during a time of major crisis, they may be led to place blame in the wrong direction by various politically motivated voices. This poor choice (placing blame in the wrong direction) then may lead to major unnecessary (but very real) human suffering if the wrong solutions are adopted to "solve the crisis".

The goal here is to try and emphasize that these issues are important to all of us and can directly impact our daily lives. History shows us that nothing stays stable forever in regards to money and monetary systems. The view here is that the better we understand these issues, the better off we will be when the next inevitable major crisis does arrive. The younger you are, the more likely you are to see the next one. But it's important for all of us to understand as much we can.



Here is the 2 minute "In Money We Trust" video trailer





Added note: Following this article later this month will be one featuring a recent update on where things stand with central bank digital currencies. Are they a form of future money? Not yet apparently based on this latest update.

Additional added note: For those who might want to do a deeper dive into some monetary history, this paper may be worth your time to read. One of the authors of this paper is an economist that I get input from now and then.

Added note 5-21-2019: John Stossel features and reviews this same documentary here on Reason





Tuesday, November 28, 2017

2014 - Robert Pringle Interview with Paul Volcker

Now and then while doing research I run across some older information that is really interesting. This 2014 interview by Robert Pringle with former Fed Chief Paul Volcker falls in that category. 


This interview provides a great window into the past (both long term history and recent history) from an icon in the world of central banking. I present it here for readers who have interest in these issues. Below is some text that describes the interview from Centralbanking.com

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Former chairman of the Federal Reserve Paul Volcker believes the Federal Reserve has come in for unfair criticism related to its decision to ‘taper' its asset purchases late last year (see video above).
Volcker told an audience at the Central Banking Awards dinner on March 13 that he was perplexed by criticism of the Fed when it made a very small, even "tiny", move towards ending its purchases of US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. The Fed started to reduce its $85 billion of monthly US bond purchases in December last year. It now buys $55 billion of such securities per month.
In a ‘conversation' with Central Banking founder Robert Pringle, Volcker said there were complaints that other central banks should have "consulted" regarding tapering. But he said it was unworkable for the Fed to consult with every nation around the world when making its policy decisions. Volcker said volatile capital flows and currencies are a product of the structure of the current monetary system, rather than any actions undertaken by the Fed on tapering.
Volcker added that one of the issues in the lead-up to the financial crisis of 2007–08 was that huge imbalances built up in China and the US but "nobody wanted to do anything" about it, he said. "There was nothing in the system that made anybody do anything [to address the imbalances]," Volcker added. Asked if that was a system the world should operate with today, Volcker replied: "I don't think so", adding that "nobody is prepared to look at it".
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My added comments: I hope readers who see this interview will appreciate even more the contributions that Robert Pringle has made to this blog. Mr. Pringle has been very kind to help out with explaining complex issues presented here and also to contribute to articles published here with direct comments. Please note that when Mr. Pringle offers us information, he is coming from a background of decades of experience working with central bankers like Paul Volcker. This kind of insight is very hard to find and much appreciated here.